PolyBot

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Traders

Curry11

0x82ddb1b8c41714e8c9f559181b8f8c466a8735f0

Realised P&L
$-71.97
Volume
$36.9k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$48.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes0.0550.048$17.57−$2.77
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.036$10.80−$19.20
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1200.061$10.27−$9.77
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.0400.019$5.70−$6.30
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes0.1000.023$4.60−$15.40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.0230.000$0.00−$9.20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$20.40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$29.89
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$18.00
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$20.40
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.24
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$16.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$35.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 09:58Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.069$22.77
08-22 10:11Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?SELL0.09302575$31.07
07-13 15:16Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.28$21.70
07-12 08:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.004$0.80
07-10 16:12US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?SELL0.2766666667$41.50
05-24 04:40Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?SELL0.009675$1.93
05-24 04:40Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?SELL0.0584195$5.84
05-24 04:39Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?SELL0.62626$62.63
05-19 10:19Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.07$7.00
05-18 16:55Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.4$3.20
05-14 10:54Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?SELL0.99110001$99.10
05-11 03:22Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.011$5.50
05-08 18:29Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?SELL0.406$20.30
05-08 18:27Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY0.4$20.00
05-07 15:35Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?SELL0.3$75.00