darkrider11
0x82a1b239e7e0ff25a2ac12a20b59fd6b5f90e03a
- Realised P&L
- $194.1k
- Volume
- $38.01M
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.015 | $3.8k | −$8.8k |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.017 | $1.7k | −$3.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$724.4kat 0.482Clippers vs. Hawks
- +$667.3kat 0.514Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
- +$578.6kat 0.451Bulls vs. Pacers
- +$564.6kat 0.524Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
- +$558.6kat 0.528Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 00:03 | Golden Knights vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.4999910914 | $77.3k |
| 02-28 00:02 | Golden Knights vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.49 | $15.0k |
| 02-28 00:02 | Golden Knights vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.4883879189 | $35.5k |
| 02-25 03:10 | Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.34 | $3.0k |
| 02-25 03:07 | Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $200.00 |
| 02-25 03:04 | Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.34 | $12.0k |
| 02-25 03:04 | Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.34 | $5.0k |
| 02-25 03:03 | Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.34 | $30.0k |
| 02-25 03:02 | Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.3398519955 | $100.0k |
| 02-25 02:59 | Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.33 | $25.0k |
| 02-25 02:57 | Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.33 | $20.0k |
| 02-25 02:54 | Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.33 | $89.0k |
| 02-25 00:50 | Thunder vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.57 | $55.86 |
| 12-13 22:22 | Knicks vs. Magic | BUY | 0.38 | $230.0k |
| 12-13 22:10 | Knicks vs. Magic | BUY | 0.3699999997 | $743.00 |