HolyKnight
0x82963e0746cdcbb5c73aebf79251bc54c383e9cb
- Realised P&L
- $-9.7k
- Volume
- $615.4k
- Markets traded
- 698
- Open portfolio
- $697.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded698
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$769.68at 0.304Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$674.34at 0.163Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$577.24at 0.529Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$469.44at 0.213Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?
- +$322.07at 0.247Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:05 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.32 | $94.47 |
| 10-20 14:02 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.045279564 | $99.57 |
| 10-20 13:14 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3199290874 | $225.58 |
| 10-20 13:14 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $10.55 |
| 10-20 13:10 | Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | SELL | 0.452392246 | $230.81 |
| 10-19 23:35 | Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.4662759075 | $237.89 |
| 10-19 23:32 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.5 | $250.19 |
| 10-13 01:43 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.027899877 | $53.36 |
| 10-13 01:40 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $57.00 |
| 10-12 14:48 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.023 | $17.16 |
| 10-12 14:47 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $18.11 |
| 10-12 13:27 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.023 | $38.02 |
| 10-12 13:25 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 10-12 13:24 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 10-12 08:36 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $6.12 |