PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FRTHH

0x8290ce6595c9a9a20e7f2c2663a97394c80ee3bd

Realised P&L
$222.68
Volume
$84.8k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$190.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4460.875$99.25+$48.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3200.825$66.00+$40.40
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0900.070$7.00$2.00
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0500.065$6.50+$1.50
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0600.065$6.50+$0.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3200.160$4.78$4.81
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00$19.65
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$18.20
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$17.80
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$18.05
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$12.00
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$9.72
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00$9.45
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$11.20
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$15.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 06:19Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.997$39.88
08-25 06:19Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8434064724$99.56
06-09 06:37Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$14.38
06-09 06:36Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.993$49.65
04-13 06:28Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.45$63.66
11-05 05:31Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$39.68
10-06 08:05Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?BUY0.081$7.70
09-22 06:34Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.996$106.81
09-22 06:33Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.997$106.92
08-12 07:01Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.986$59.16
08-12 07:01Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.987$59.22
04-04 07:32Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.979$68.53
03-06 07:14Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.978$68.46
02-09 09:34Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.977$209.19
02-09 09:34Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.978$209.40