PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x828D5ae19bB87f0d8F51A0ebc2f9aF8514175CcD-1789600515352

0x828d5ae19bb87f0d8f51a0ebc2f9af8514175ccd

Realised P&L
$-8.92
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$130.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 35%-40%? · No0.7850.665$38.83−$6.99
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8700.876$17.70+$0.12
Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · No0.9370.959$13.16+$0.30
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.8820.790$10.16−$1.19
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.4500.430$9.03−$0.42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1630.203$7.04+$1.40
Will Mexico win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League? · Yes0.2300.415$5.58+$2.49
Will the Minnesota Wild record 100+ points? · Yes0.6900.685$5.33−$0.04
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes0.3600.345$5.17−$0.23
Will Miami (FL) make College Football Playoff Semifinals? · Yes0.3600.470$4.99+$1.17
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2800.275$4.13−$0.08
Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes0.2500.175$3.32−$1.42
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.6100.630$3.03+$0.10
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6900.640$1.92−$0.15
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.035$1.03−$1.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:26Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?SELL0.43$1.70
10-31 11:16Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election?SELL0.23$0.92
10-31 04:21Will the Minnesota Wild record 100+ points?BUY0.689999973$5.37
10-29 12:32Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election?BUY0.25$5.74
10-27 22:36Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?BUY0.3299999975$1.31
10-27 01:03UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)BUY0.5099999753$5.58
10-27 01:00UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)BUY0.5099999599$5.73
10-22 21:42Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?SELL0.07$0.98
10-21 10:36Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.69$2.07
10-21 10:30Will Tottenham finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?SELL0.2$2.19
10-18 02:24Will Dune: Part Three win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6099999604$2.93
10-17 14:04Will Tottenham finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?BUY0.122383024$1.34
10-15 17:26Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.85$0.42
10-15 17:09Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.678$0.52
10-12 03:41Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY0.45$9.45