0x828D5ae19bB87f0d8F51A0ebc2f9aF8514175CcD-1789600515352
0x828d5ae19bb87f0d8f51a0ebc2f9af8514175ccd
- Realised P&L
- $-8.92
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $130.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.35at 0.659Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- +$3.92at 0.847Chiefs vs. Dolphins
- +$3.70at 0.885Will ACRO Crew be the runner-up of AGT Season 21?
- +$2.10at 0.706Lions vs. Cardinals
- +$1.66at 0.837Philadelphia Phillies Team Total: O/U 5.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:26 | Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.70 |
| 10-31 11:16 | Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.92 |
| 10-31 04:21 | Will the Minnesota Wild record 100+ points? | BUY | 0.689999973 | $5.37 |
| 10-29 12:32 | Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.74 |
| 10-27 22:36 | Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3299999975 | $1.31 |
| 10-27 01:03 | UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5099999753 | $5.58 |
| 10-27 01:00 | UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5099999599 | $5.73 |
| 10-22 21:42 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.98 |
| 10-21 10:36 | Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.69 | $2.07 |
| 10-21 10:30 | Will Tottenham finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.19 |
| 10-18 02:24 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6099999604 | $2.93 |
| 10-17 14:04 | Will Tottenham finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.122383024 | $1.34 |
| 10-15 17:26 | Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.42 |
| 10-15 17:09 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.678 | $0.52 |
| 10-12 03:41 | Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.45 |