PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rdtft

0x827aadb2083f51f2a96e3ed3b9af44276c29080a

Realised P&L
$-26.39
Volume
$84.1k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$36.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 07:50Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$3.00
09-23 07:49Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.9299999814$2.00
09-23 07:48Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.78$1.00
09-23 07:48Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.8449999662$1.00
09-23 07:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-23 07:47Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-23 07:47Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.8879993109$1.00
08-29 08:55Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.859999914$1.00
08-29 08:54Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.9549998176$5.00
08-29 08:53Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.95$3.00
08-29 08:53Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.9809999982$5.00
08-29 08:53Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.8809999762$1.00
08-29 08:52Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.975$9.75
08-29 08:52 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.13$0.17
08-29 08:51Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.98$5.88