rdtft
0x827aadb2083f51f2a96e3ed3b9af44276c29080a
- Realised P&L
- $-26.39
- Volume
- $84.1k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $36.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.30at 0.310Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$2.17at 0.323Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.23at 0.011Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.93at 0.880Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.92at 0.988Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 07:50 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 07:49 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 07:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:48 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8449999662 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:47 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:47 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8879993109 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 08:55 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 08:54 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9549998176 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 08:53 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 08:53 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9809999982 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 08:53 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.8809999762 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 08:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $9.75 |
| 08-29 08:52 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.17 |
| 08-29 08:51 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.88 |