ox825C9a38d7033Fc2f9d82432d3A1742C38EAdfa0
0x825c9a38d7033fc2f9d82432d3a1742c38eadfa0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $106.9k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $439.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$189.44at 0.190Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$173.56at 0.035Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$28.04at 0.040Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
- +$27.93at 0.477Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$23.76at 0.106US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:27 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.11 |
| 11-01 17:36 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.03 |
| 11-01 15:57 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.08 |
| 11-01 15:53 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.06 |
| 11-01 15:34 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.09 |
| 11-01 14:55 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.06 |
| 11-01 14:53 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.07 |
| 11-01 14:50 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.07 |
| 11-01 14:45 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.07 |
| 11-01 11:24 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.09 |
| 11-01 10:01 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.12 |
| 11-01 04:43 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.21 |
| 11-01 04:26 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.64 |
| 11-01 04:09 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.02 |
| 11-01 04:08 | Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.06 |