0x8247063b60e2b93E7Bf6cb209C09a48E522D7929-1777969809674
0x8247063b60e2b93e7bf6cb209c09a48e522d7929
- Realised P&L
- $-38.28
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $40.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No | 0.890 | 0.840 | $14.00 | −$0.83 |
| Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.250 | $13.39 | −$1.61 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.165 | $7.92 | −$0.40 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $5.25 | −$9.75 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Martin Landaluce · Martin Landaluce | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Up | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bad Homburg Open: Solana Sierra vs Qinwen Zheng · Solana Sierra | 0.286 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.597Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Gonzalo Bueno
- +$6.87at 0.746Will T1 win MSI 2026?
- +$0.24at 0.810Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$0.20at 0.127Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31?
- +$0.00at 0.982Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 12:41 | Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? | BUY | 0.28 | $15.00 |
| 09-01 03:03 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $14.84 |
| 08-27 05:56 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.89 | $14.84 |
| 08-27 01:09 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.973 | $14.74 |
| 08-25 01:07 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.971 | $14.71 |
| 08-24 20:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.34 | $15.00 |
| 08-24 00:52 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $14.84 |
| 08-23 23:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.88 | $14.83 |
| 08-18 19:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.88 | $14.83 |
| 08-18 13:10 | Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan? | SELL | 0.465 | $14.53 |
| 08-13 09:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.34 | $15.00 |
| 08-13 08:19 | Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2 | SELL | 0.41 | $10.51 |
| 08-13 04:19 | Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2 | BUY | 0.33 | $8.46 |
| 08-13 00:53 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 08-09 15:15 | Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan? | BUY | 0.46 | $14.38 |