PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x823fdce2af9e616620d4d2701d7de1d94558e772

0x823fdce2af9e616620d4d2701d7de1d94558e772

Realised P&L
$-19.93
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$7.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.755$1.89+$0.89
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.665$1.58+$0.58
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7450.966$1.30+$0.30
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1800.215$1.19+$0.19
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.5000.505$1.01+$0.01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5050.502$0.99−$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 15:08Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSELL0.5$1.04
10-05 15:05Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-05 15:01Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?BUY0.5$1.00
10-05 14:57Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSELL0.62$1.48
10-05 14:55Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-05 14:52Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETSELL0.73$1.82
10-05 14:50Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.4$1.00
09-24 15:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.551$0.93
09-23 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSELL0.59$1.00
09-23 16:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-22 16:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5939998883$1.00
09-22 16:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSELL0.76$1.35
09-22 16:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSELL0.29$0.80
09-22 16:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-22 16:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.559999776$1.00