0x8232EF8B7f36802D0d570559c415cC491190996C-1783667494697
0x8232ef8b7f36802d0d570559c415cc491190996c
- Realised P&L
- $-230.63
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,270
- Open portfolio
- $4.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,270
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexa Loo win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.180 | $2.81 | −$7.19 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.411 | 0.512 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.01at 0.364Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$18.87at 0.447Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$11.49at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$10.02at 0.260Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$9.06at 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 12:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 12:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999513 | $1.02 |
| 09-04 12:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999189 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 11:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999595 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 10:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6999998614 | $1.01 |
| 09-04 10:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6499998143 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999172 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 10:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999189 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 10:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 10:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 09:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 09:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999295 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 09:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8299998893 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999173 | $1.05 |