PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

creators1

0x81fdb0c0bf568e7feb33fc4ca96bfc66f79a57dd

Realised P&L
$-50.68
Volume
$106.1k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$151.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9880.992$49.58+$0.17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.984$49.17+$1.68
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8170.659$26.36−$6.32
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6900.525$26.25−$8.25
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$0.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 12:09Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.988$49.40
10-09 12:09Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.785$15.70
10-09 12:08Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.35$52.50
09-15 14:21Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$47.50
09-15 14:20Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.849$16.98
09-15 14:20Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?BUY0.69$34.50
09-15 14:19Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.974$97.40
08-01 02:38Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.56$84.00
08-01 02:36Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.965$96.50
06-11 08:34Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?BUY0.84$176.40
06-11 08:33Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?SELL0.998$143.71
06-11 08:33Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$5.17
06-11 08:33Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$21.38
05-19 10:56Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.006$42.76
05-05 11:19Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$17.09
Trader creators1 · PolyBot Pro