Convex7
0x81e0d0c6817669629a58ea8b08d2eb1b93492c3b
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $8.54M
- Markets traded
- 720
- Open portfolio
- $7.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded720
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$728.47at 0.045Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
- +$452.71at 0.371Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$392.81at 0.060Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
- +$326.58at 0.050Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
- +$314.72at 0.009Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 22:49 | Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $5.80 |
| 06-09 20:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.08 |
| 06-09 20:56 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.18 |
| 06-09 12:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8029955067 | $16.08 |
| 06-08 02:34 | San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL | 0.4977793199 | $21.52 |
| 06-08 01:46 | San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL | 0.44 | $8.79 |
| 06-08 01:38 | San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL | 0.4297029703 | $7.81 |
| 06-08 01:30 | San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL | 0.4641666667 | $27.85 |
| 06-08 01:26 | San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 06-07 18:19 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | SELL | 0.46 | $8.59 |
| 06-07 18:18 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | SELL | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 06-07 17:46 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 06-07 17:45 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 06-07 17:45 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 06-07 17:43 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | SELL | 0.38 | $2.66 |