PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sappa

0x81e08b94b6cc7a08593658ad9016f307cdd14fce

Realised P&L
$-117.89
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$123.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)7.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0430.116$61.34+$38.51
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0940.165$16.45+$7.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.225$15.47+$3.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.145$14.50+$0.50
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0240.026$11.68+$0.96
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.002$1.88$8.13
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0060.003$1.52$2.13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0800.046$0.65$0.48
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.038$0.12$0.00
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.3600.000$0.00$10.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 08:37Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$10.00
05-29 07:33Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.052$10.40
05-29 07:32Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.038$4.94
05-29 07:29Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.018$9.36
05-20 09:21Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$50.00
05-17 21:00Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY0.033$4.95
05-16 17:36Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.016$1.95
04-29 21:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY0.063$1.70
04-10 13:48Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?BUY0.002$5.69
01-24 16:05Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.023861616$10.72
01-24 16:00Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$10.00
08-16 21:19UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevBUY0.32$32.00
05-20 17:23Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?BUY0.08$10.00
05-14 12:09Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?BUY0.139$19.37
04-24 17:58No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?BUY0.09$16.33