Sterling655
0x81dd6ac5536b2ccea0d9672313dcd3ee22a5d449
- Realised P&L
- $-108.01
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $180.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.983 | $91.95 | −$0.05 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.997 | $88.13 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.97at 0.731Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
- +$14.06at 0.934Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$11.29at 0.968Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?
- +$9.80at 0.500Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
- +$9.77at 0.969Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:32 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $88.00 |
| 09-18 07:31 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.983524712 | $92.00 |
| 08-13 05:04 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999958 | $100.00 |
| 08-13 05:03 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $82.00 |
| 07-08 09:52 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9849999915 | $92.00 |
| 07-08 09:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $90.00 |
| 06-25 08:15 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30? | BUY | 0.9779999999 | $140.00 |
| 06-25 08:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $132.73 |
| 06-19 06:00 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BUY | 0.9904381722 | $171.00 |
| 06-19 05:50 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $200.00 |
| 06-04 09:01 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.985999996 | $183.00 |
| 06-04 09:00 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9869999956 | $191.00 |
| 06-04 08:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4? | BUY | 0.993 | $200.00 |
| 06-04 08:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.983 | $170.00 |
| 05-08 15:01 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.9639999999 | $215.00 |