Botafogudo
0x81bfdf5c8836de28cfcd08690cdb161e202ab45b
- Realised P&L
- $-27.82
- Volume
- $502.31
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $6.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.55at 0.220Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
- +$0.92at 0.520Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
- +$0.47at 0.680Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$0.34at 0.986Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?
- +$0.33at 0.750Another Elon baby by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 21:27 | Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.6599997059 | $1.84 |
| 05-20 21:24 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.090999987 | $5.97 |
| 05-20 21:23 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1359999897 | $10.00 |
| 04-20 14:38 | Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.9859999997 | $23.66 |
| 03-01 13:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $0.97 |
| 02-03 02:04 | Will Babu Santana win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.0713521227 | $1.00 |
| 02-03 02:00 | Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 01-31 17:24 | Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 01:44 | Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? | BUY | 0.3029997918 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 01:43 | Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 01:42 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 01-11 13:21 | Another Elon baby by June 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 01-10 00:56 | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 01-10 00:56 | Will Trump talk to Giorgia Meloni in January? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 01-08 23:02 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |