💰💰
0x81962d4b60e570db68de998ae77a35d07822ab69
- Realised P&L
- $9.1k
- Volume
- $499.4k
- Markets traded
- 606
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded606
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.485US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
- +$966.96at 0.210US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$882.71at 0.112Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
- +$858.27at 0.405Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
- +$845.02at 0.207Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:19 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $208.00 |
| 11-01 20:14 | US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4991230288 | $103.82 |
| 11-01 19:03 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $199.44 |
| 11-01 11:22 | US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09275 | $22.26 |
| 11-01 10:56 | US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.063000516 | $25.64 |
| 11-01 09:57 | US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043558773 | $14.20 |
| 11-01 06:45 | US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1317972851 | $58.25 |
| 11-01 02:04 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.0068770677 | $2.74 |
| 10-31 23:57 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.5102596685 | $184.71 |
| 10-31 23:47 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-31 23:47 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.6891596639 | $246.03 |
| 10-31 23:46 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.33992675 | $135.97 |
| 10-31 23:10 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $149.91 |
| 10-31 22:36 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.4775 | $191.00 |
| 10-31 10:19 | Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |