PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

10KWarrior

0x818816a0ef909fddd129a022d27b1e2979380667

Realised P&L
$-5.8k
Volume
$1.86M
Markets traded
650
Open portfolio
$275.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded650
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0820.065$131.47−$34.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6120.075$47.59−$340.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8160.115$30.81−$187.88
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.001$25.00−$74.96
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0080.004$13.93−$10.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.043$8.50−$81.50
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1400.013$6.25−$63.75
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0080.011$6.21+$1.48
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0180.002$6.00−$66.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$54.52
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.0540.000$0.00−$432.23
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 21? · Down0.0030.000$0.00−$1.55
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · No0.0310.000$0.00−$24.66
SPY Opens Up or Down on September 21? · Down0.0020.000$0.00−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 21:01Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?BUY0.003$54.53
09-03 20:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.58$2.90
09-02 14:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.45$225.00
08-31 05:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.49$343.00
08-28 22:03Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$100.00
08-28 08:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7$621.59
08-27 13:09S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 27?BUY0.003$0.01
08-16 04:09UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2099999968$50.00
08-16 03:54UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2699999983$100.00
08-14 13:30S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 14?BUY0.01$5.00
08-11 19:30SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?SELL0.006$6.00
08-09 02:43Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.95$38.00
08-09 02:30Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.95$69.35
08-09 02:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSELL0.5710542234$211.47
08-09 02:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.2697683085$99.90