PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x817a6e8ab6e58523e48e84b0312fcd16f692f4db

Realised P&L
$-403.48
Volume
$17.2k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$591.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2740.255$304.60$23.29
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1530.125$286.46$63.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 08:48NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999983$77.89
08-26 08:46NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.16$100.00
08-25 08:38NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999995$250.00
08-25 08:38NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999995$250.00
08-24 12:39NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$0.16
08-24 12:39NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.14$0.10
08-18 15:25NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1292249375$135.00
08-18 15:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.89$135.39
08-18 15:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9$136.91
08-18 11:28NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999986$100.00
08-18 11:27US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.967$225.63
08-17 11:50US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.8571214499$200.00
08-13 14:57Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.9146567877$194.00
08-13 14:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7199999968$197.23
08-13 14:31US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?SELL0.981$17.05