lumao002
0x817672dbf8375d12235a52472fadc10c805763f3
- Realised P&L
- $-648.87
- Volume
- $70.0k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $347.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.482Red Wings vs. Flames
- +$1.4kat 0.532Paris Saint-Germain FC to score first vs. FC Barcelona?
- +$186.90at 0.616Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$108.79at 0.410Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
- +$75.83at 0.480LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:44 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $15.87 |
| 11-01 19:43 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 11-01 19:41 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 11-01 11:31 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 11-01 11:23 | Next Gemini Argon released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 11-01 10:37 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.63 |
| 11-01 09:57 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 11-01 09:55 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 10-31 05:23 | Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $336.40 |
| 10-31 05:22 | Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.35 | $32.90 |
| 10-31 05:21 | Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.35 | $164.15 |
| 10-31 00:24 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 10-30 17:27 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 10-30 17:04 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9593908024 | $1.1k |
| 10-30 09:50 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8006775352 | $280.93 |