PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lumao002

0x817672dbf8375d12235a52472fadc10c805763f3

Realised P&L
$-648.87
Volume
$70.0k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$347.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1570.023$129.02−$750.51
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · Yes0.2700.245$49.00−$5.00
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? · Yes0.8300.795$39.75−$1.75
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2400.125$37.50−$34.50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6800.665$33.25−$0.75
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · No0.0140.010$18.07−$7.60
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30? · Yes0.2500.230$11.50−$1.00
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3000.265$10.60−$1.40
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.215$6.82−$2.38
Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.4300.335$6.49−$1.84
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3100.255$5.10−$1.10
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$50.00
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5800.000$0.00−$336.40
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5) · SV 07 Elversberg0.5500.000$0.00−$1.7k
Exact Score: Valencia CF 3 - 2 Villarreal CF? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:44Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?SELL0.7$15.87
11-01 19:43Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?SELL0.7$7.00
11-01 19:41Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?SELL0.7$3.50
11-01 11:31US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?SELL0.35$3.50
11-01 11:23Next Gemini Argon released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$5.80
11-01 10:37US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?SELL0.35$2.63
11-01 09:57US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?SELL0.35$35.00
11-01 09:55US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?SELL0.35$10.50
10-31 05:23Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5BUY0.58$336.40
10-31 05:22Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5BUY0.35$32.90
10-31 05:21Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5BUY0.35$164.15
10-31 00:24Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?SELL0.42$4.20
10-30 17:27Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.17$34.00
10-30 17:04Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9593908024$1.1k
10-30 09:50Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.8006775352$280.93