0x8160c2d606bbb9dd6a4be8765c80bcc405cac9ae
0x8160c2d606bbb9dd6a4be8765c80bcc405cac9ae
- Realised P&L
- $18.74
- Volume
- $523.68
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $9.51
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? · Yes | 0.410 | 1.000 | $2.44 | +$1.44 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · No | 0.506 | 0.970 | $1.92 | +$0.92 |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%? · No | 0.590 | 1.000 | $1.69 | +$0.69 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · No | 0.300 | 0.400 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $48 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.760 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.310 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.63at 0.237Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$6.27at 0.247Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$5.35at 0.278WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 19:44 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 11:41 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 03:41 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $48 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 19:41 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.6739997843 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 11:37 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 02:12 | United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 03:52 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.5059998937 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:59 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 10:38 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:37 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:37 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 18:35 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:31 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:20 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |