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Traders

0x81583B7fB99f6EaBeFe09F883b8D3a0014D9682B-1768651666368

0x81583b7fb99f6eabefe09f883b8d3a0014d9682b

Realised P&L
$106.33
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$1.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? · Yes0.3970.034$1.29−$13.71
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1600.040$0.25−$0.75
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2400.017$0.07−$0.93
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.5940.028$0.05−$0.95
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.6790.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 11:16UK Recession in 2026?SELL0.06$1.80
10-04 11:16Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?SELL0.909$31.02
10-04 11:15Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?SELL0.972004914$35.60
10-04 11:15Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.36$4.00
10-04 11:15US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.07$4.44
10-04 11:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.8$45.96
05-26 14:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
05-26 13:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.976$13.94
05-19 12:41Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.239999856$1.00
05-16 11:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
05-15 14:50Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?SELL0.97$25.52
05-15 14:48Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.449999955$5.00
05-15 09:34Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.58$41.42
05-04 21:35Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?BUY0.4319999537$5.00
05-04 21:25Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?BUY0.219750792$5.00
Trader 0x81583B7fB99f6EaBeFe09F883b8D3a0014D9682B-1768651666368 · PolyBot Pro