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0x814eEFb344D5a041b13b7509c7d0595b802577c0-1778348684619

0x814eefb344d5a041b13b7509c7d0595b802577c0

Realised P&L
$-0.82
Volume
$200.25
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$6.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.4920.185$1.13$1.87
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.175$1.03+$0.03
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.5900.575$0.97$0.03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0730.035$0.97$1.03
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.2700.220$0.81$0.19
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.2900.180$0.62$0.38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1300.065$0.50$0.50
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0700.033$0.47$0.53
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.4400.130$0.30$0.70
Trump pays Jan 6 rioter? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-13 15:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.85$1.15
06-12 03:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.44$1.29
06-10 17:40Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
06-06 18:47Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0539999504$1.00
06-05 18:48Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-05 18:44Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?SELL0.89$1.26
06-05 18:43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
06-04 19:23Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
06-04 19:22Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.429999828$1.00
06-04 19:12Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
06-04 19:11Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.429999828$1.00
06-04 19:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?SELL0.961$1.15
06-04 19:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.74$1.00
06-04 19:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.33999983$1.00
06-04 19:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.1699998861$1.00