fd65g41fd65
0x8143aedef8323564ff5e1b1dd37ae4e01c565f93
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $37.2k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $296.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.46at 0.500Suns vs. Pacers
- +$3.30at 0.979Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$1.15at 0.991Will Elise Stefanik be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
- +$0.56at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$0.51at 0.996Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 07:32 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 08-19 03:40 | Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.18 |
| 08-19 03:40 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 08-19 03:40 | Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 08-18 03:49 | Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 08-17 06:54 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 08-17 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.1225 | $2.45 |
| 08-17 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-17 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 08-17 06:53 | Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 08-17 06:53 | Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 08-17 06:53 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 08-17 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 17? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 08-16 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 08-16 07:21 | Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |