PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8127f86bd7757893b569170186d8c4445ac52656

0x8127f86bd7757893b569170186d8c4445ac52656

Realised P&L
$1.08
Volume
$695.34
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$242.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27? · No0.6440.735$24.21+$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26? · No0.6440.635$17.24−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 26? · Yes0.4300.435$17.19+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 27? · No0.7210.705$16.88−$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? · No0.4700.470$12.69+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 26? · Yes0.4410.495$10.68+$1.16
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25? · No0.7100.740$9.70+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 26? · Yes0.3900.450$9.59+$1.28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 26? · No0.7000.785$8.98+$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26? · Yes0.4200.415$7.06−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 26? · No0.8800.945$6.35+$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 25? · Yes0.2910.230$5.41−$1.45
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? · Yes0.4160.355$5.17−$0.89
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 26? · No0.8300.845$5.13+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 25? · Yes0.4100.480$4.79+$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 11:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.47$12.69
09-25 11:10Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.7208948318$17.26
09-25 11:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26?BUY0.4199999883$7.15
09-25 11:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 27?BUY0.6499999728$3.58
09-25 11:10Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 26?BUY0.75$3.67
09-25 11:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 25?BUY0.3952453162$2.02
09-25 10:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-25 10:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.4299999991$5.00
09-25 10:11Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27?BUY0.679999987$2.09
09-25 10:10Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 26?BUY0.8299999934$5.04
09-25 10:10Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.759999944$1.63
09-25 10:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 25?BUY0.8699998968$2.36
09-25 09:12Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 26?BUY0.65$2.73
09-25 09:12Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 27?BUY0.8799999693$2.29
09-25 09:12Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.429999938$1.04