xbskha
0x8112a187071e1fb15680e5d911a77ab38c9df10c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.03
- Volume
- $232.17
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $53.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.50at 0.616Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$3.33at 0.600Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$2.94at 0.412Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?
- +$2.56at 0.540Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
- +$1.87at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.6499999297 | $2.31 |
| 10-12 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.7081651441 | $2.20 |
| 10-12 10:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.6899999561 | $2.20 |
| 10-12 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.5499999222 | $2.12 |
| 10-12 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.5199999107 | $2.33 |
| 10-12 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6799999611 | $2.10 |
| 10-12 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.5499999751 | $2.21 |
| 07-28 10:05 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.429 | $1.57 |
| 07-28 10:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.61 |
| 07-28 10:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.49 | $6.78 |
| 07-21 07:15 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9339999603 | $20.00 |
| 07-21 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 15:39 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.947999909 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 15:37 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $2.50 |