LazarP
0x810058bb646b145e034fb8697578cea4bf273dc5
- Realised P&L
- $-43.22
- Volume
- $958.73
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $49.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.63at 0.640US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
- +$2.81at 0.640Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
- +$2.25at 0.690Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
- +$2.08at 0.708Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.98at 0.718Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:22 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 09:21 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 09:17 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1869999854 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 09:17 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 09:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 09:15 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SELL | 0.971 | $2.06 |
| 09-30 09:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $3.15 |
| 09-30 09:14 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.973 | $5.79 |
| 09-30 09:14 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $5.96 |
| 09-30 09:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $9.04 |
| 09-30 09:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.967 | $9.21 |
| 09-21 11:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 11:44 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.155 | $2.15 |
| 09-10 07:59 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 07:58 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |