HaileyWelch
0x80cd8310aa624521e9e1b2b53b568cafb0ef0273
- Realised P&L
- $887.6k
- Volume
- $63.12M
- Markets traded
- 3,282
- Open portfolio
- $10.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,282
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$330.0kat 0.670Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$129.2kat 0.580Thunder vs. Timberwolves
- +$127.0kat 0.801Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 6?
- +$109.1kat 0.635Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?
- +$105.2kat 0.820Pacers vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:03 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.3k |
| 09-17 07:08 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 09-17 07:06 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 09-17 04:21 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.12 | $230.97 |
| 09-17 04:02 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-17 03:53 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-17 03:31 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-17 01:53 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.16 | $725.78 |
| 09-17 01:00 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.24 | $95.52 |
| 09-17 00:55 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.23 | $77.53 |
| 09-17 00:42 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.21 | $83.58 |
| 09-16 23:40 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.73 | $109.50 |
| 09-16 22:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 19? | BUY | 0.85 | $629.73 |
| 09-16 21:59 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.36 | $92.88 |
| 09-16 21:49 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.38 | $49.40 |