0x80c7eDf9BE58A77901E66BA814a7e2692c7dC281-1773745665308
0x80c7edf9be58a77901e66ba814a7e2692c7dc281
- Realised P&L
- $-40.75
- Volume
- $269.17
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.130 | $1.99 | −$2.01 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.045 | $1.02 | −$3.98 |
| Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.309 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.00 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.07at 0.737Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$-1.29at 0.140US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
- +$-4.53at 0.320Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 10:21 | Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3095007993 | $31.00 |
| 03-26 10:15 | US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.71 |
| 03-21 08:12 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.47 |
| 03-19 21:56 | Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? | BUY | 0.2615011674 | $4.00 |
| 03-19 21:44 | US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | BUY | 0.1399999627 | $3.00 |
| 03-19 17:44 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 03-19 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $4.06 |
| 03-19 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $2.94 |
| 03-17 20:45 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 03-17 20:28 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 03-17 19:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.2599999584 | $4.00 |