PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x80c045172058D32740ac2887970188ba6b2EED95-1775061091891

0x80c045172058d32740ac2887970188ba6b2eed95

Realised P&L
$-8.3k
Volume
$373.1k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0360.024$6.4k$3.4k
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1110.032$706.64$1.8k
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.024$207.33$1.3k
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? · Yes0.1530.380$168.03+$100.40
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.1100.028$18.75$56.25
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$100.00
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$100.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$200.00
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00$799.99
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$499.74
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation? · No0.1190.000$0.00$138.00
Will Trump say "Third term" in March? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$116.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 18:45Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.1796328644$490.95
06-28 18:44Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.16$8.80
04-30 09:52James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?BUY0.1099999988$75.00
04-19 22:52Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1516962446$1.5k
04-19 22:52Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0423393373$3.3k
04-19 22:52Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0268213952$1.2k
04-19 22:52Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0333427991$1.9k
04-19 22:52Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0259415736$1.1k
04-19 22:52Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0229283386$1.0k
04-02 10:18Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.0866927253$1000.00
04-01 17:11Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.1195079854$138.00
04-01 17:10Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?BUY0.6799999984$50.00
04-01 17:08Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?BUY0.1529411749$65.26
04-01 17:06Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?BUY0.1442869578$800.00
04-01 17:04US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?BUY0.0807609469$100.00