PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pulpi

0x809b74fad75959cad11ddd2dcd954067cbd84bb8

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$108.9k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$171.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.7360.795$79.49+$5.90
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6400.670$48.80+$2.19
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1490.218$21.85+$6.95
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.2800.180$12.60−$7.00
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0310.035$8.33+$1.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 07:37Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.8896679612$91.64
10-28 07:00Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.8475$101.70
10-28 06:45Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.5060618965$204.40
10-26 08:33Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999921$15.00
10-26 08:32Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?SELL0.021262314$5.15
10-19 09:07Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2379338843$57.58
10-08 17:22Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.7989999972$100.00
10-08 16:24Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.874$56.99
10-07 15:07Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.8$7.00
03-27 11:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28?BUY0.0090000001$1.00
02-24 21:54Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?SELL0.001$0.33
02-24 21:54Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?SELL0.002$0.77
02-24 21:54Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?SELL0.001$0.85
02-06 07:41Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?SELL0.006$4.50
02-05 19:18Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?BUY0.007$5.25