pulpi
0x809b74fad75959cad11ddd2dcd954067cbd84bb8
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $108.9k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $171.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.736 | 0.795 | $79.49 | +$5.90 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.640 | 0.670 | $48.80 | +$2.19 |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.149 | 0.218 | $21.85 | +$6.95 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No | 0.280 | 0.180 | $12.60 | −$7.00 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.035 | $8.33 | +$1.06 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.843Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$161.81at 0.525Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$141.00at 0.353Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$71.32at 0.978Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$58.72at 0.400Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 07:37 | Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8896679612 | $91.64 |
| 10-28 07:00 | Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8475 | $101.70 |
| 10-28 06:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5060618965 | $204.40 |
| 10-26 08:33 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999921 | $15.00 |
| 10-26 08:32 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.021262314 | $5.15 |
| 10-19 09:07 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2379338843 | $57.58 |
| 10-08 17:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7989999972 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 16:24 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.874 | $56.99 |
| 10-07 15:07 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.00 |
| 03-27 11:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 21:54 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 02-24 21:54 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.77 |
| 02-24 21:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.85 |
| 02-06 07:41 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February? | SELL | 0.006 | $4.50 |
| 02-05 19:18 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.25 |