PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HectorTroy

0x80890c50bbfa3547eff2e1c4cc1a5fe74ae68d0f

Realised P&L
$-11.03
Volume
$208.20
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$15.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.6950.755$2.71+$0.21
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.705$2.20+$0.20
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.5400.655$1.61+$0.28
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.7100.835$1.18+$0.18
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? · Yes0.5600.610$1.09+$0.09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5100.555$1.09+$0.09
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.7800.835$1.07+$0.07
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.6140.655$1.07+$0.07
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? · Yes0.6880.729$1.06+$0.06
Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · Yes0.6100.590$0.97$0.03
Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? · Yes0.4800.375$0.86$0.24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6100.445$0.73$0.27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3350.046$0.28$1.72
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage · ex-RUSTEC0.6700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 11:04Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.5399999919$1.33
09-10 11:04Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.853$1.44
09-05 11:24Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.6139999497$1.00
09-05 11:24Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-05 11:24Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
09-05 11:24Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.78$1.00
09-05 11:24Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?BUY0.6879999615$1.00
09-05 11:24Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
09-02 07:31Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?BUY0.4799999127$1.10
09-02 07:31Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.6799999637$1.50
08-29 05:05Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
08-29 05:04North Carolina vs. TCUBUY0.7599999088$1.00
08-29 05:04Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.63$1.00
08-29 05:03Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.6599999578$1.25
08-29 05:03Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BBUY0.77$1.00