ilhmm
0x8088437c471dbc146a393b7b4937eff1a9d9b3e3
- Realised P&L
- $-9.96
- Volume
- $203.43
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $11.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.77at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$3.48at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$1.05at 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$1.04at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 30?
- +$1.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 4? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 09:24 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 4? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 09:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:52 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |