0x807C1627eA71a2aFB5c7e2bD125151F9b87C46A6-1780476365787
0x807c1627ea71a2afb5c7e2bd125151f9b87c46a6
- Realised P&L
- $-18.91
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 351
- Open portfolio
- $57.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded351
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.30at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?
- +$23.66at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?
- +$20.74at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 24?
- +$19.51at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4?
- +$17.61at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 06:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 06:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 05:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-20 04:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.878999977 | $4.40 |
| 10-20 03:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C or higher on October 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 03:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C or higher on October 20? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-20 02:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.844999996 | $4.23 |
| 10-19 17:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.4499999624 | $2.99 |
| 10-19 17:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.4499999624 | $2.99 |
| 10-19 13:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.4499999685 | $2.86 |
| 10-19 11:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 06:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 10-19 05:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 58-59°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.3299999759 | $2.46 |
| 10-19 02:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 3°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 10-19 00:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be -1°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.4699999225 | $2.67 |