gethelp
0x807360e9bcacbdd1d50e48db6f170214662adb0a
- Realised P&L
- $-33.20
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $67.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.825 | $14.53 | −$0.09 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.855 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.880 | 0.885 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No | 0.870 | 0.830 | $9.54 | −$0.46 |
| Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? · No | 0.792 | 0.997 | $6.29 | +$1.29 |
| Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un by November 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.885 | $5.67 | +$0.67 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · No | 0.779 | 0.876 | $5.62 | +$0.62 |
| Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.897 | 0.966 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.51at 0.247Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$14.70at 0.412Wuhan Tennis Open: Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens
- +$14.08at 0.356Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
- +$13.29at 0.379Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
- +$6.47at 0.612Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:15 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999921 | $14.62 |
| 10-31 02:15 | Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un by November 30? | BUY | 0.7799999282 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 02:15 | Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.896999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 10:16 | Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 22:16 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 10:16 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 08:26 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-22 10:14 | Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 01:45 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.7789999075 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 21:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 11:39 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.5869999394 | $3.33 |
| 10-19 08:50 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.78 |
| 10-19 01:45 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.4299999873 | $6.42 |
| 10-17 09:42 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tatiana Prozorova | BUY | 0.4899999769 | $8.89 |
| 10-16 09:46 | Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.7920792079 | $5.00 |