PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xtz

0x804cea4ad56e4032dbc5f45356a366aea86dc740

Realised P&L
$-353.14
Volume
$14.7k
Markets traded
282
Open portfolio
$11.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded282
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2190.219$10.02+$0.02
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9290.967$1.04+$0.04
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-26? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$0.35
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$5.00
Clippers vs. Hawks · Hawks0.5500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$4.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00−$2.00
Rangers vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes0.6300.000$0.00−$3.00
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.7370.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00−$57.00
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds · Atlanta Braves0.5400.000$0.00−$5.00
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 17:17Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5BUY0.5799999768$2.00
09-24 17:08Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.5599999328$2.00
09-24 17:07St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5BUY0.6299998362$1.00
08-24 00:05Boston Red Sox vs. Miami MarlinsBUY0.5599999785$3.12
08-24 00:03Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.2186487362$10.00
07-19 15:19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.04$1.00
07-17 14:41Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.7$2.00
07-17 14:41Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-17 14:41Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-17 14:41Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.429999828$1.00
07-15 18:30Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3125$2.00
07-15 18:29England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.459999885$2.00
07-15 18:29England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.384999896$2.00
07-15 18:29England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.672499937$2.00
07-15 18:29England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5BUY0.8874999815$3.00