xtz
0x804cea4ad56e4032dbc5f45356a366aea86dc740
- Realised P&L
- $-353.14
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $11.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.00at 0.940US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$8.22at 0.870Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$7.71at 0.280Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$6.12at 0.140Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals
- +$5.69at 0.580Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 17:17 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 17:08 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 17:07 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 00:05 | Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.5599999785 | $3.12 |
| 08-24 00:03 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2186487362 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 15:19 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 14:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 07-17 14:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 14:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 14:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 18:30 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3125 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 18:29 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 18:29 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.384999896 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 18:29 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.672499937 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 18:29 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8874999815 | $3.00 |