kljgrs
0x8023238eeb317ae7711d0f1eebdd878661afa892
- Realised P&L
- $226.17
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.590 | 0.990 | $792.00 | +$320.00 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.230 | $621.00 | +$27.00 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.967 | $386.79 | +$34.80 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.961 | $364.99 | +$11.59 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.149 | $358.80 | +$34.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$735.00at 0.502Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
- +$192.08at 0.440Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
- +$64.96at 0.965Ethereum Up or Down on January 22?
- +$53.40at 0.911Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-14.28at 0.919Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 03:08 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $594.00 |
| 07-30 07:08 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.135 | $162.00 |
| 07-30 06:53 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.135 | $162.00 |
| 04-27 11:56 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.911 | $546.60 |
| 04-26 01:53 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.59 | $472.00 |
| 04-13 08:22 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.919 | $2.1k |
| 03-27 07:54 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.71 | $102.72 |
| 03-27 07:17 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.71 | $74.63 |
| 03-27 07:04 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.71 | $28.49 |
| 02-06 11:30 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.22 |
| 01-22 01:53 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 22? | BUY | 0.965 | $1.8k |