0x80218b090634cda3ddf8116001b1114bdb8a6189
0x80218b090634cda3ddf8116001b1114bdb8a6189
- Realised P&L
- $17.53
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 264
- Open portfolio
- $394.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded264
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.27at 0.154Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$10.21at 0.601Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.63at 0.698Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$8.11at 0.676Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$6.09at 0.645Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:35 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 05:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5599999729 | $7.43 |
| 10-27 16:19 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7399999944 | $7.86 |
| 10-27 09:28 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.5699999821 | $7.94 |
| 10-27 09:27 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.9299999971 | $15.96 |
| 10-26 18:43 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7099999903 | $10.24 |
| 10-26 18:42 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7099999865 | $13.68 |
| 10-26 18:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7399999951 | $18.27 |
| 10-26 04:27 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7099999312 | $2.27 |
| 10-22 17:10 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7099999796 | $10.07 |
| 10-22 17:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $30.00 |
| 10-21 06:29 | Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.6149999849 | $20.00 |
| 10-21 06:27 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 06:26 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 06:26 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.9059999667 | $10.00 |