meifreefly
0x8012f20131d9900519b95151afec004e3f4df32b
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $75.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $253.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.66at 0.790First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$132.56at 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$8.33at 0.900Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$-12.00at 0.250Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$-96.76at 0.466Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 06:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999997 | $230.00 |
| 05-14 07:42 | UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.256149453 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 10:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.1837820405 | $300.00 |
| 04-20 09:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999996 | $400.00 |
| 04-20 09:35 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | SELL | 0.0987468363 | $102.61 |
| 04-20 09:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.24 | $288.00 |
| 04-20 09:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.25 | $300.00 |
| 04-20 09:33 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.925 | $308.33 |
| 04-20 09:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $210.54 |
| 04-20 09:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0170236185 | $500.00 |
| 04-20 09:31 | Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.409727448 | $703.24 |
| 02-16 13:50 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $310.00 |
| 02-16 13:49 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8999999976 | $300.00 |
| 02-16 13:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | BUY | 0.3599999995 | $400.00 |
| 01-18 07:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1297357709 | $180.00 |