PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

meifreefly

0x8012f20131d9900519b95151afec004e3f4df32b

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$75.4k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$253.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1410.029$179.71−$710.28
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0170.003$73.43−$426.55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$230.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$400.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00−$500.00
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$300.00
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$200.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$300.00
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026? · No0.2560.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.3250.000$0.00−$350.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00−$300.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-17 06:34Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0699999997$230.00
05-14 07:42UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?BUY0.256149453$100.00
05-01 10:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.1837820405$300.00
04-20 09:38Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2199999996$400.00
04-20 09:35Iran coup attempt by June 30?SELL0.0987468363$102.61
04-20 09:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.24$288.00
04-20 09:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.25$300.00
04-20 09:33Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.925$308.33
04-20 09:33Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.19$210.54
04-20 09:31Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0170236185$500.00
04-20 09:31Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.409727448$703.24
02-16 13:50Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$310.00
02-16 13:49Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.8999999976$300.00
02-16 13:46Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?BUY0.3599999995$400.00
01-18 07:44Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1297357709$180.00