0x8009f9185D0255AC0594dEB6Bd0f9522c955B542-1775840813181
0x8009f9185d0255ac0594deb6bd0f9522c955b542
- Realised P&L
- $-80.00
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $12.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.125 | $8.13 | −$4.88 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.045 | $3.25 | −$6.75 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.017 | $1.50 | −$8.50 |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump attend UFC 327? · No | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 17:41 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $13.00 |
| 04-10 17:40 | Kash Patel out by June 30? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 17:39 | Will Trump attend UFC 327? | BUY | 0.0727301646 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 17:37 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 17:36 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | BUY | 0.1386372772 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 17:33 | Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | BUY | 0.0149999985 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 17:28 | Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? | BUY | 0.0459999957 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 17:26 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.0260288264 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 17:19 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 17:19 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $9.44 |
| 04-10 17:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |