PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lockitron

0x7ff1490a3cb1c657b65ae37f18ac9c535f7685cd

Realised P&L
$20.39
Volume
$179.8k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.920$572.24+$174.16
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.920$460.92+$25.05
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.6210.086$37.62$235.62
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · No0.4901.000$19.00+$9.69
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · No0.7300.234$11.68$24.82
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.5500.330$9.24$6.16
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.115$0.23$0.49
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.3100.003$0.14$16.91
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1600.062$0.06$0.10
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1300.015$0.06$0.46
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$0.76
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2100.000$0.00$129.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 04:16Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026SELL0.74$441.78
06-15 15:22Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$28.71
04-27 09:12Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.2$151.60
04-23 10:58Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$464.58
04-23 08:49Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.22$166.76
04-12 22:19Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Climate" during NYC rally?SELL0.972$322.70
04-12 03:50Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Climate" during NYC rally?BUY0.57$189.24
04-12 02:31Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?BUY0.89$1.6k
04-12 00:15Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?SELL0.11$11.66
04-12 00:14Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?SELL0.12$72.00
04-11 18:14Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.73$535.09
04-11 18:13Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.72$71.28
04-11 10:05Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?SELL0.696$320.16
04-11 06:51Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?SELL0.26$2.86
04-10 04:51Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?BUY0.73$372.30