lockitron
0x7ff1490a3cb1c657b65ae37f18ac9c535f7685cd
- Realised P&L
- $298.86
- Volume
- $179.8k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$467.28at 0.230Will Nicole Kidman attend the Oscars?
- +$396.36at 0.180Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
- +$385.47at 0.276Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$318.42at 0.620Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
- +$273.71at 0.701Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 04:16 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.74 | $441.78 |
| 06-15 15:22 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $28.71 |
| 04-27 09:12 | Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $151.60 |
| 04-23 10:58 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $464.58 |
| 04-23 08:49 | Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $166.76 |
| 04-12 22:19 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Climate" during NYC rally? | SELL | 0.972 | $322.70 |
| 04-12 03:50 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Climate" during NYC rally? | BUY | 0.57 | $189.24 |
| 04-12 02:31 | Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.6k |
| 04-12 00:15 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.66 |
| 04-12 00:14 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000? | SELL | 0.12 | $72.00 |
| 04-11 18:14 | Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $535.09 |
| 04-11 18:13 | Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $71.28 |
| 04-11 10:05 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.696 | $320.16 |
| 04-11 06:51 | Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.86 |
| 04-10 04:51 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $372.30 |