PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

guaper

0x7fb2c11043bf5798e42d5fcbd901e9bd9dfc4da0

Realised P&L
$-5.84
Volume
$617.48
Markets traded
421
Open portfolio
$11.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded421
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · No0.9991.000$1.76+$0.00
Will MP get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · No0.9980.996$1.76$0.00
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9990.994$1.73$0.01
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$0.98$0.01
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.982$0.98$0.02
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.980$0.98$0.02
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.975$0.98$0.02
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.965$0.97$0.03
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.950$0.95$0.05
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.890$0.89$0.11
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4PM ET · Down0.9600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET · Down0.6700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down0.9800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%? · No0.9950.000$0.00$1.95
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · Yes0.9800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 09:57XRP Up or Down - September 24, 5AM ETBUY0.999$1.77
09-24 09:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5AM ETBUY0.998$1.77
09-24 08:58Dogecoin Up or Down - September 24, 4AM ETBUY0.999$1.77
09-24 05:56Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 1AM ETBUY0.9864840463$1.77
09-24 03:56Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.9899998825$1.77
09-24 00:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8PM ETBUY0.991$1.77
09-23 06:59Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2AM ETBUY0.997$1.76
09-23 05:00Will MP get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.998$1.76
09-23 04:59Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.99$1.76
09-22 23:58Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.999$1.76
09-22 14:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10AM ETBUY0.9699999945$1.76
09-22 07:57Solana Up or Down - September 22, 3AM ETBUY0.999$1.76
09-22 01:57Solana Up or Down - September 21, 9PM ETBUY0.999$1.76
09-21 23:58Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.999$1.76
09-21 23:57Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.999$1.76