guaper
0x7fb2c11043bf5798e42d5fcbd901e9bd9dfc4da0
- Realised P&L
- $-5.84
- Volume
- $617.48
- Markets traded
- 421
- Open portfolio
- $11.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded421
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.38at 0.823Solana Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET
- +$0.11at 0.943Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
- +$0.07at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12AM ET
- +$0.06at 0.967Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
- +$0.06at 0.968Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 09:57 | XRP Up or Down - September 24, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.77 |
| 09-24 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $1.77 |
| 09-24 08:58 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 24, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.77 |
| 09-24 05:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.9864840463 | $1.77 |
| 09-24 03:56 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.9899998825 | $1.77 |
| 09-24 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.991 | $1.77 |
| 09-23 06:59 | Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.997 | $1.76 |
| 09-23 05:00 | Will MP get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.76 |
| 09-23 04:59 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.76 |
| 09-22 23:58 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.76 |
| 09-22 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999945 | $1.76 |
| 09-22 07:57 | Solana Up or Down - September 22, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.76 |
| 09-22 01:57 | Solana Up or Down - September 21, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.76 |
| 09-21 23:58 | Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.76 |
| 09-21 23:57 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.76 |