PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dekivagyok

0x7fa1507e1803272c26d91fb263c507b995d3deeb

Realised P&L
$3.5k
Volume
$155.4k
Markets traded
6,028
Open portfolio
$122.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded6,028
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.7530.935$44.76+$8.72
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2880.175$12.95$8.40
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.3850.220$7.05$5.28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2450.207$6.43$1.16
Will SpaceX say "Starship" during earnings call? · No0.0100.185$5.55+$5.25
Will Trump say "Potato" in August? · Yes0.2400.560$4.61+$2.63
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? · Yes0.1070.067$4.23$2.53
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? · No0.1000.130$3.90+$0.90
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.4350.125$3.62$8.98
1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) · Chicago White Sox0.6100.640$3.57+$0.17
Will Milva die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? · Yes0.2200.540$3.46+$2.05
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.190$3.42$4.68
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.185$3.33+$0.09
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5) · Henan FC0.1830.200$3.27+$0.27
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-07-25? · Yes0.1400.360$2.57+$1.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:55Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.0301817851$1.66
08-02 08:47Will Trump say "Tango" in August?SELL0.25$0.48
08-02 08:09Will Trump say "Tango" in August?SELL0.42$4.87
08-02 08:07Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.63$3.15
08-01 20:39Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.19$0.23
08-01 11:03Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.04$0.12
08-01 05:38Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.047$0.47
08-01 05:37Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.006$0.12
07-28 17:27Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 28?SELL0.1156903086$2.14
07-28 15:42Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.32$3.20
07-26 12:06Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 26?SELL0.08$0.08
07-26 10:20Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5)BUY0.3399999411$3.00
07-26 10:19Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 PlayoffsBUY0.3799999516$3.30
07-26 08:51Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)BUY0.4699999542$4.00
07-26 08:10Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 PlayoffsBUY0.2099999496$2.50