PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dekivagyok

0x7fa1507e1803272c26d91fb263c507b995d3deeb

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$157.9k
Markets traded
6,081
Open portfolio
$91.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded6,081
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.7530.974$46.58+$10.54
Will anyone say "Pawn" during Big Brother E37? · No0.0300.415$8.30+$7.70
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2450.210$6.53$1.07
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.1700.205$6.15+$1.05
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.3850.130$4.17$8.17
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2880.055$4.07$17.28
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0400.086$3.29+$1.76
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0680.051$2.11$0.66
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? · Yes0.1070.032$2.02$4.74
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.067$1.68$3.33
Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch? · Yes0.0260.048$1.51+$0.69
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.075$1.35$6.75
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.065$1.04$7.44
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.055$0.99$2.25
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? · Yes0.2160.125$0.78$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:05Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.44$13.20
09-13 08:43Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.095$0.10
09-13 07:47Packers vs. VikingsSELL0.45$4.50
09-13 07:46Ravens vs. ColtsSELL0.39$3.90
09-12 09:10Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.23$7.59
09-10 16:31Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.003$0.03
09-08 15:33Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.11$8.86
09-08 15:31Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)SELL0.18$2.94
09-08 15:29Will "Woman" be in the headlines this week?SELL0.32$3.03
09-08 15:29Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?SELL0.24$7.20
09-06 19:44Will Milva die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?SELL0.17$1.09
09-06 19:35Will Elon post "Video game" or "Videogame" on X this week?BUY0.27$0.54
09-06 09:07Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2507692308$3.26
09-06 08:49Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week?BUY0.41$4.10
09-06 08:48Will Elon post "Video game" or "Videogame" on X this week?BUY0.27$5.40