dekivagyok
0x7fa1507e1803272c26d91fb263c507b995d3deeb
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $155.4k
- Markets traded
- 6,028
- Open portfolio
- $122.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,028
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.90at 0.624Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?
- +$72.96at 0.657Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
- +$47.62at 0.631Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$41.00at 0.350Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?
- +$39.71at 0.016Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:55 | Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.0301817851 | $1.66 |
| 08-02 08:47 | Will Trump say "Tango" in August? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.48 |
| 08-02 08:09 | Will Trump say "Tango" in August? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.87 |
| 08-02 08:07 | Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 08-01 20:39 | Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.23 |
| 08-01 11:03 | Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.12 |
| 08-01 05:38 | Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $0.47 |
| 08-01 05:37 | Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 07-28 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 28? | SELL | 0.1156903086 | $2.14 |
| 07-28 15:42 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 07-26 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 26? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.08 |
| 07-26 10:20 | Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5) | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 07-26 10:19 | Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs | BUY | 0.3799999516 | $3.30 |
| 07-26 08:51 | Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4699999542 | $4.00 |
| 07-26 08:10 | Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.2099999496 | $2.50 |