PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7f8da2cd352455b682f369224254daabefc9301b

Realised P&L
$-23.88
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
894
Open portfolio
$64.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded894
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$6.41$0.09
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$6.40$0.10
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$6.40$0.10
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$6.34$0.16
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.971$6.32$0.18
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$6.24$0.26
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.934$6.08$0.42
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026? · No0.9981.000$6.00+$0.01
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9970.995$5.97$0.01
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.997$5.93$0.01
Will Caedrel beat Max Verstappen in Max vs 100? · No0.9990.995$1.78$0.01
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9970.144$0.94$5.56
Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%? · No0.9990.000$0.00$6.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down0.9900.000$0.00$6.71
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor? · No0.9990.000$0.00$7.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 03:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026?BUY0.998$5.99
09-18 02:58BNB Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.999$5.99
09-18 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.9899998427$5.98
09-18 00:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8PM ETBUY0.998$5.98
09-17 23:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999997$5.98
09-17 22:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ETBUY0.99$5.98
09-17 21:57Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 5PM ETBUY0.999$5.98
09-17 19:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ETBUY0.9699999966$5.68
09-17 19:56Solana Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ETBUY0.479999973$5.68
09-17 10:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ETBUY0.999$2.15
09-17 09:56Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ETBUY0.999$5.68
09-17 04:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ETBUY0.9979999518$5.67
09-17 03:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ETBUY0.9989999429$5.67
09-17 00:59BNB Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ETBUY0.999$5.12
09-17 00:59Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ETBUY0.92$5.65