PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7f787235a6a116cb0fa3e4857860636edabc657f

Realised P&L
$15.33
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$25.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.7400.960$13.02+$2.98
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6700.745$11.58+$1.17
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1100.037$0.59$1.13
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No0.2900.000$0.00$25.00
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.8400.000$0.00$10.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5700.000$0.00$24.99
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$27.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? · No0.6700.000$0.00$24.99
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$17.77
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · No0.0180.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Olympic Dcheira 0 - 3 OC Safi? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00$12.09
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? · No0.8000.000$0.00$11.38
Will France win on 2026-07-09? · No0.3870.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 23:45Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.0184539388$2.00
07-16 20:19Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.25$37.00
07-14 19:30Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2099999948$27.00
07-14 17:43France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5699999936$24.99
07-09 20:07Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
07-09 20:05Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.3874999907$25.00
07-09 19:51Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?BUY0.12$7.77
07-07 17:46Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.4199999927$18.53
07-06 23:33Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.6699999995$24.99
07-06 22:43Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.8399999966$10.00
07-06 22:01Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.4899999916$25.00
07-06 22:00Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2899999936$25.00
07-06 21:42Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?BUY0.8$11.38
07-06 21:35Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?SELL0.77$12.56
07-06 17:35Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.6599999928$9.15