0x7f787235a6a116cb0fa3e4857860636edabc657f
- Realised P&L
- $15.33
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $25.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.61at 0.259Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$25.64at 0.497Will England win on 2026-07-11?
- +$25.27at 0.427Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
- +$7.68at 0.517Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$5.52at 0.657Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 23:45 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.0184539388 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 20:19 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $37.00 |
| 07-14 19:30 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2099999948 | $27.00 |
| 07-14 17:43 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5699999936 | $24.99 |
| 07-09 20:07 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 20:05 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.3874999907 | $25.00 |
| 07-09 19:51 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.77 |
| 07-07 17:46 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4199999927 | $18.53 |
| 07-06 23:33 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.6699999995 | $24.99 |
| 07-06 22:43 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 22:01 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 07-06 22:00 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2899999936 | $25.00 |
| 07-06 21:42 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $11.38 |
| 07-06 21:35 | Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.77 | $12.56 |
| 07-06 17:35 | Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.6599999928 | $9.15 |