Dstrd
0x7f74ba68e7f07b8865868a112139355b8357d46c
- Realised P&L
- $-0.88
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $2.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.72at 0.346Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$1.09at 0.030Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$0.87at 0.003Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- +$0.35at 0.009Will Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- +$0.31at 0.002Will Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 00:10 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.07 |
| 09-10 23:19 | Will Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.30 |
| 09-05 22:24 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-31 01:46 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.03 |
| 08-31 01:42 | Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.05 |
| 08-31 01:30 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-31 01:25 | Will Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 07-29 10:57 | Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.03 |
| 06-11 09:40 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 06-05 02:54 | Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-30 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $0.98 |