spiderxyz
0x7f472f0c8527cb6304bea28e8d451c50e490367c
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $187.3k
- Markets traded
- 9,084
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded9,084
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$390.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$257.50at 0.485Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9AM ET
- +$190.79at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9AM ET
- +$153.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$153.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 07-01 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 06-30 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.751 | $7.51 |
| 06-30 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:38 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.979601 | $9.80 |
| 06-30 23:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |