PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

spiderxyz

0x7f472f0c8527cb6304bea28e8d451c50e490367c

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$187.3k
Markets traded
9,084
Open portfolio
$6.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded9,084
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.540$3.6k+$271.35
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.460$3.1k$271.35
Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.0130.620$6.20+$6.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4PM ET · Down0.4900.505$5.05+$0.15
BNB Up or Down - August 6, 12AM ET · Down0.4900.495$4.95+$0.05
Solana Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.4900.495$4.95+$0.05
Solana Up or Down - August 4, 4PM ET · Up0.4900.490$4.90+$0.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.4900.490$4.90+$0.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 4, 8AM ET · Down0.4900.490$4.90+$0.00
Solana Up or Down - August 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.4900.485$4.85$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.4900.470$4.70$0.20
XRP Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down0.4900.500$3.12+$0.06
BNB Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Down0.4900.500$2.94+$0.06
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.213$2.13+$2.02
Will Dylan Cease strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.0130.199$1.99+$1.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 00:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 1?BUY0.996$9.96
07-01 00:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?BUY0.94$9.40
06-30 23:58Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 1?BUY0.751$7.51
06-30 23:58Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 1?BUY0.99$9.90
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.8$8.00
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:38Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:38Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?BUY0.979601$9.80
06-30 23:38Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:38Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99