0x7F45e5c94910E280f34948abf5AfAfB91714284B-1764996618980
0x7f45e5c94910e280f34948abf5afafb91714284b
- Realised P&L
- $-145.90
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.365 | $2.3k | −$589.31 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.220 | $980.61 | +$312.01 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.135 | $835.60 | +$247.65 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.021 | $5.68 | −$24.31 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.005 | $1.15 | −$31.32 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.62 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 08:59 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.16 |
| 07-15 08:47 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $255.00 |
| 07-15 08:46 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 07-15 08:46 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 14:25 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.411542147 | $26.65 |
| 07-14 14:23 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.0795450026 | $35.00 |
| 07-14 14:23 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.070806844 | $35.00 |
| 07-14 13:05 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.0599999991 | $62.78 |
| 07-13 07:12 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999986 | $67.67 |
| 07-13 07:11 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1012299383 | $78.01 |
| 07-10 22:41 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.3k |
| 07-10 14:47 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 07-10 14:44 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 07-10 10:13 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.41 |
| 07-10 10:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |