PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7F45e5c94910E280f34948abf5AfAfB91714284B-1764996618980

0x7f45e5c94910e280f34948abf5afafb91714284b

Realised P&L
$-145.90
Volume
$18.6k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.4600.365$2.3k$589.31
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.1500.220$980.61+$312.01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0950.135$835.60+$247.65
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.1080.021$5.68$24.31
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.1560.005$1.15$31.32
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$10.62
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00$50.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 08:59Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.15$2.16
07-15 08:47Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.15$255.00
07-15 08:46Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.15$150.00
07-15 08:46Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.15$30.00
07-14 14:25Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.411542147$26.65
07-14 14:23Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.0795450026$35.00
07-14 14:23Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.070806844$35.00
07-14 13:05Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.0599999991$62.78
07-13 07:12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.1099999986$67.67
07-13 07:11Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.1012299383$78.01
07-10 22:41Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.46$2.3k
07-10 14:47Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.46$4.60
07-10 14:44Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.46$2.30
07-10 10:13Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.47$9.41
07-10 10:09Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.46$4.60