PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7f45a04dA31104Fc6952BBd51476CD6870B04eA1-1734251662029

0x7f45a04da31104fc6952bbd51476cd6870b04ea1

Realised P&L
$-37.83
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$50.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 20? · No0.9960.995$28.97−$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · No0.9971.000$21.85+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 14:13Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 20?BUY0.9956566368$29.00
10-18 03:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?BUY0.9979999627$22.00
10-18 00:06Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.997$21.80
10-11 02:56Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.996$23.00
10-08 22:55Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 9?BUY0.9968641384$24.10
10-03 20:24Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.998$12.00
10-03 17:24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?BUY0.998$21.90
09-30 16:09Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9929999998$12.00
09-26 17:18Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27?BUY0.997$26.00
09-25 20:30Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27?BUY0.9969999993$21.60
09-24 00:48Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.997$11.00
09-22 06:38Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.997$20.70
09-20 07:49Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 14-20?BUY0.9959999656$18.20
09-17 11:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?BUY0.9929999571$18.00
09-13 19:29Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.997$16.30