watcher7
0x7f290d5763cab43e7181df42ec6ada9cee91eb76
- Realised P&L
- $-84.73
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 501
- Open portfolio
- $40.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded501
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.12at 0.084BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
- +$24.97at 0.167LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
- +$16.84at 0.229US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva
- +$15.29at 0.213Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?
- +$14.53at 0.351US Open WTA: Renata Zarazua vs Polina Iatcenko
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 00:35 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.5399999561 | $4.92 |
| 10-10 21:32 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.25 |
| 10-10 15:38 | Spread: Mansfield Town FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.23 | $2.99 |
| 10-10 15:37 | Spread: Mansfield Town FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3099999885 | $4.87 |
| 10-10 15:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.04 |
| 10-10 12:19 | Altrincham FC vs. Aldershot Town FC: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.22 | $1.42 |
| 10-10 12:17 | Altrincham FC vs. Aldershot Town FC: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.22 | $1.25 |
| 10-10 12:15 | Altrincham FC vs. Aldershot Town FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $4.85 |
| 10-10 12:10 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.68 | $4.43 |
| 10-10 12:09 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7599999755 | $4.96 |
| 10-10 08:06 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee? | BUY | 0.5899999544 | $4.92 |
| 10-09 20:24 | Spread: US Avellino 1912 (-1.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $5.66 |
| 10-09 19:12 | Spread: US Avellino 1912 (-1.5) | BUY | 0.88 | $4.99 |
| 10-09 12:48 | Will Trump say "Buffalo" during his Midterm Rally in New York? | BUY | 0.5699999559 | $4.91 |
| 10-09 09:01 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $6.41 |