0x7f170dab4af3c530d2c31f4471e91a072e58e250
0x7f170dab4af3c530d2c31f4471e91a072e58e250
- Realised P&L
- $6.51
- Volume
- $195.03
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $3.96
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.790 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.874 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.335 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.145 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.76at 0.210Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.30at 0.470Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:35 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:59 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:59 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:59 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:53 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:52 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 09:27 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:11 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:11 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |